Comparison of Approaches
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Model Approaches

Table 2. Comparison of approaches to simulating climate change effects adopted by current broadly empirical and mechanistic vegetation models, with an indication (shaded) of the areas in which the greatest uncertainties about the most appropriate modelling approach currently lie. 1:Wimovac,2:Maestro,3:DSSAT (Ceres),4:Hurley pasture model,5:Biomass,6:Century,7:AFRC wheat,8:PlantMod,9:Lingra, 10:Biome-BGC.

plus 2șC

>350 ”mol mol-1 CO2

Empirical

Mechanistic

Empirical

Mechanistic

Leaf Photosynthesis Arrhenius or Q10 function is applied to the photosynthetic rate calculated from a non rectangular hyperbola. (3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10) Arrhenius or Q10 function is applied to the photosynthetic rate calculated from the Farquhar or Collatz models. Parameters for the non rectangular hyperbola which gives photosynthetic assimilation may be changed using an empirical relationship. Farquhar C3, Collatz C4. Biochemical models respond directly to CO2 as part of their core function. (1,2)
Stomatal Conductance A relationship between temperature and stomatal conductance is not usually defined Via indirect effects on assimilation. Iterative calculation of stomatal conductance and assimilation

 

 

Either not defined, or poor empirical expression primarily used to give some response of transpiration (via stomatal conductance) to enhanced CO2. (3 - 10) Direct effects on Ball & Berry model and from stomatal conductance onto transpiration and water loss. (1,2)
Leaf [N] No relationship between leaf [N] and temperature is usually included Optimum leaf [N] may change due to increased maximum assimilation rates. Models will respond if optimum leaf [N]’s are calculated. (1,2)

 

Empirical relationships between leaf [N] and the parameters of the non rectangular hyperbola exist but these are not modified by enhanced CO2. (3 - 10) Direct effects on the Vcmax/Jmax parameters used in the leaf A/Ci and light response of the Farquhar model. Linear models from Harley and Field are consistent. Less certain is how Vcmax/Jmax change in response to CO2. (1,2)
CHO allocation, partitioning Partitioning coefficients used in conjunction with thermal time calendars. Do the coefficients and thermal time duration’s still apply? Current physiologically based models of partitioning may respond correctly but are often not generalist enough to be useful.

 

Usually no direct effect of CO2 on partitioning. Possible effect on C availability from photosynthesis. But root:shoot will stay the same in most models. (2 - 10) A few physiologically based models respond to different C loadings arising from modified atmospheric CO2. (1)
Organic matter turnover, decomposition Empirical temperature response function. Many models relate tissue C:N and lignin content of the litter to decomposition rate using empirical observations. Temperature response functions based on enzyme kinetics and metabolism. The Century model provides a good compromise between model simplicity and ability to respond correctly.

 

Broad overlap in the methodologies of empirical and mechanistic models resulting from the current lack of knowledge Potential effects through tissue composition changes, lignin content, C:N ratio. NPP and litter quality. (1 - 10)
Soil C:N status Litter formation, decomposition and plant N uptake rates may all be effected and a number of empirical models for this exist. Plant N uptake/availability changes not clear. Will N uptake remain constant? (1,3,4,5,6,7) Effects of CO2 remain uncertain. No process based models currently available for direct effects. Some evidence of indirect effects via N uptake, litter quality and decomposition used in some models.

(1,3,6,7)

Soil water status Evapo/transpiration via Penman/Monteith or Priestly Taylor. Often potential water loss is calculated in which stomatal resistance is not considered. (3,4,5,6,7,9,10) Evapo/transpiration via Penman/Monteith. Actual water loss in which stomatal resistance is considered. Temperature effects on energy balance. (1,2,8) No direct effect of CO2 on soil water evaporation. Some models use an empirical relationship between stomatal conductance and plant evapo/transpiration which gives some response of soil water status to CO2. Others ignore the potential effect altogether. (3,4,6,7) Effect via stomatal conductance at the leaf level scaled to canopy level with physical models of light interception/energy budget and resulting in a physical model of evapo/transpiration. Soil evaporation from energy budget of the soil layers. (1,2)
Respiration Most models use a fixed respiration rate per g dry weight of each different structural material in the plant (maintenance) and a fixed fraction of assimilation (growth) and modify these amounts using an Arrhenius or Q10 function. Experimental measurements of plant material N content and direct respiration measurements are used to parameterise the empirical approaches to respiration suggested by McCree and Penning de Vries (1,2). Few mechanistic models of respiration are used. Direct effect of CO2 on respiration is not usually considered. Indirect effects on sink sizes and concomitant effect on maintenance respiration is usually considered. (1-10) Few models use a process based approach to calculating respiration and opt instead for the empirical McCree and Penning de Vries approach of considering growth and maintenance respiration. (1-10)
Ageing & Senescence Elapsed thermal time since tissue formation will be affected by temperature increase. Will tissues age more quickly under new conditions? (3,4,5,6,7) Few mechanistic models of ageing and senescence exist and none are used in the group of plant models examined here. Direct effect of CO2 on ageing/senescence is not usually considered. May be effects in C:N content of tissues.(1-10)

 

 

 

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